Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 31.530889 35.894619 40.668895 46.284219 52.713639 59.851848 68.387268
2024-12-29 26.515369 32.471650 39.496415 48.409384 59.442189 72.683664 89.831617
2025-01-05 22.097337 28.881339 37.437718 49.060615 64.500261 84.393080 112.110087
2025-01-12 18.027231 25.010926 34.379771 47.935578 67.164843 93.639434 133.157031
2025-01-19 15.086421 22.127712 32.134118 47.496883 70.682799 104.678433 158.871672
2025-01-26 13.342714 20.631707 31.574371 49.355995 77.841330 122.226889 197.656520
2025-02-02 12.026101 19.547654 31.441841 51.843313 86.443638 143.603445 246.937525
2025-02-09 10.589711 18.030034 30.379237 52.660401 92.529461 162.130563 295.563388
2025-02-16 9.093557 16.161143 28.429794 51.633154 95.285575 175.543207 338.169040
2025-02-23 7.884751 14.591021 26.736311 50.756083 98.152893 189.719675 385.405467
2025-03-02 6.906819 13.279823 25.294670 50.089186 101.297026 205.039510 438.417122
2025-03-09 6.215694 12.399637 24.518928 50.581390 106.847522 226.246069 508.699127
2025-03-16 5.539565 11.463526 23.530750 50.573929 111.614516 247.338923 585.187589
2025-03-23 5.127640 11.003706 23.441562 52.485024 121.024542 280.738911 699.256768
2025-03-30 4.638506 10.298727 22.719099 52.867088 127.071013 307.850775 805.336550
2025-04-06 4.081724 9.352722 21.311965 51.406288 128.446659 324.124696 887.995476
2025-04-13 3.656394 8.638291 20.314629 50.748277 131.709596 345.929937 991.897019
2025-04-20 3.431937 8.363931 20.311778 52.591500 141.912059 388.395210 1167.296857
2025-04-27 3.263795 8.200160 20.553064 55.128655 154.597215 440.761773 1388.235052
2025-05-04 3.022934 7.812890 20.166775 55.905316 162.531416 481.523546 1585.159288
2025-05-11 2.722644 7.222177 19.154166 54.740564 164.553480 505.234452 1733.236029
2025-05-18 2.465263 6.706206 18.259786 53.754303 166.944088 530.799027 1896.176167
2025-05-25 2.246144 6.261556 17.491631 53.005147 169.957993 559.244947 2079.103297